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Red140
711236.4
432037.7
703952.6
Blue55
383510.1
193735.4
165726.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109725010015020014055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+65Teleop
+85Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points16
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +44
14Coral scored#8
51Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
12Processor points6
16Net points0
28Algae points6
79Total teleop35
Reef
10L4#4
6L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#12
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
0Foul points0
140Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.62.6
42.745.3
Auto18.0
Teleop26.4
End8.3
red by 17.2
35.41.2
34.533.3
Auto6.8
Teleop22.7
End5.8
Second
4320
#11
37.72.6
32.034.6
Auto7.0
Teleop27.0
End3.7
red by 11.5
1657
#23
26.21.2
26.825.6
Auto7.8
Teleop17.5
End0.9
Third
36.42.6
26.228.8
Auto10.9
Teleop18.2
End7.4
red by 26.3
3835
#31
10.11.2
11.610.4
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed