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Red187
974027.3
223176.5
263064.3
Blue169
223064.3
157733.2
703952.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173149100200250187169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+28Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
10Coral scored#10
51Coral points51
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +28
22Coral scored#13
78Coral points46
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
12Processor points12
20Net points24
32Algae points36
110Total teleop82
Reef
15L4#7
8L3#8
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
187Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.50.5
74.975.5
Auto19.9
Teleop48.0
End8.6
red by 12.3
64.30.5
63.463.8
Auto16.9
Teleop38.1
End9.3
Second
64.30.5
62.763.3
Auto19.3
Teleop34.5
End10.5
red by 11.7
52.60.5
51.752.2
Auto18.0
Teleop26.4
End8.3
Third
9740
#16
27.30.5
25.726.2
Auto6.8
Teleop18.0
End2.6
blue by 6.0
1577
#29
33.20.5
32.332.8
Auto7.9
Teleop19.6
End5.8