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Red112
194257.4
930414.4
571540.6
Blue149
563543.7
595158.0
458631.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114143100200112149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+21
Endgame+39
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
6Coral scored#7
31Coral points34
37Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +15
11Coral scored#15
39Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
67Total teleop82
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#8
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +37
2Foul points0
112Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.40.1
57.557.4
Auto15.3
Teleop38.1
End3.9
blue by 0.6
5951
#13
58.00.4
57.657.9
Auto16.1
Teleop32.4
End9.4
Second
40.60.1
40.640.6
Auto10.0
Teleop27.8
End2.8
blue by 3.1
43.70.4
43.243.6
Auto10.5
Teleop24.7
End8.5
Third
9304
#17
14.40.1
14.514.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End1.0
blue by 17.5
4586
#12
31.90.4
31.531.9
Auto7.5
Teleop22.1
End2.3