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Red126
571540.6
610423.3
194257.4
Blue99
193735.4
555435.0
529132.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271165010015020012699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+47Teleop
+29Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points24
37Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +37
15Coral scored#9
53Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
81Total teleop44
Reef
9L4#3
5L3#5
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +27
2Foul points4
126Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.40.1
57.057.1
Auto15.3
Teleop38.1
End3.9
red by 22.0
35.40.3
37.637.3
Auto6.8
Teleop22.7
End5.8
Second
40.60.1
40.140.2
Auto10.0
Teleop27.8
End2.8
red by 5.6
5554
#14
35.00.3
37.236.9
Auto10.3
Teleop23.4
End1.2
Third
6104
#22
23.30.1
22.822.9
Auto3.0
Teleop17.7
End2.5
blue by 9.0
5291
#15
32.30.3
34.534.2
Auto7.8
Teleop19.2
End5.3