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Red84
195419.2
432037.7
817542.0
Blue73
711236.4
383510.1
822335.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107850501502008473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+17Teleop
+5Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points11
24Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +13
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
50Total teleop37
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#4
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +11
6Foul points0
84Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8175
#18
42.00.5
41.841.3
Auto8.2
Teleop30.1
End3.6
red by 5.5
36.40.2
36.736.4
Auto10.9
Teleop18.2
End7.4
Second
4320
#11
37.70.5
37.537.1
Auto7.0
Teleop27.0
End3.7
red by 2.6
8223
#19
35.10.2
35.335.1
Auto10.5
Teleop19.8
End4.8
Third
1954
#32
19.20.5
19.018.5
Auto6.4
Teleop13.3
End-0.5
red by 9.0
3835
#31
10.10.2
10.310.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End1.7