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Red189
571543.0
561474.2
223184.9
Blue242
1690107.6
595173.0
441630.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions217245100150200300350400189242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2231
Unranked
84.90.0
84.984.9
Auto19.2
Teleop56.2
End9.4
blue by 22.7
1690
Unranked
107.60.0
107.6107.6
Auto31.2
Teleop64.2
End12.2
Second
5614
Unranked
74.20.0
74.274.2
Auto20.2
Teleop44.0
End10.0
red by 1.1
5951
Unranked
73.00.0
73.073.0
Auto19.2
Teleop44.0
End9.8
Third
5715
Unranked
43.00.0
43.043.0
Auto8.7
Teleop32.2
End2.0
red by 12.2
4416
Unranked
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto9.4
Teleop17.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto odds97%Auto odds
Coral
54%Coral odds97%Coral odds
Barge
97%Barge odds97%Barge odds