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Red54
157753.5
973828.2
383510.1
Blue146
321130.6
223084.9
459069.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8822005015020025030035054146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
Unranked
53.50.0
53.553.5
Auto11.4
Teleop36.0
End6.1
blue by 31.4
2230
Unranked
84.90.0
84.984.9
Auto20.8
Teleop53.8
End10.3
Second
9738
Unranked
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto3.7
Teleop22.5
End2.0
blue by 41.4
4590
Unranked
69.60.0
69.669.6
Auto17.6
Teleop43.4
End8.7
Third
3835
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End1.7
blue by 20.5
3211
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto8.2
Teleop20.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto odds97%Auto odds
Coral
20%Coral odds41%Coral odds
Barge
59%Barge odds86%Barge odds