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Red106
263081.6
513530.1
610426.8
Blue107
592832.5
307553.9
565439.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159131050100200250300106107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
Unranked
81.60.0
81.681.6
Auto21.6
Teleop48.4
End11.6
red by 27.7
3075
Unranked
53.90.0
53.953.9
Auto11.6
Teleop38.0
End4.3
Second
5135
Unranked
30.10.0
30.130.1
Auto6.2
Teleop21.9
End2.0
blue by 8.9
5654
Unranked
39.00.0
39.039.0
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End7.5
Third
6104
Unranked
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto3.7
Teleop20.4
End2.7
blue by 5.7
5928
Unranked
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto5.6
Teleop25.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto odds74%Auto odds
Coral
22%Coral odds20%Coral odds
Barge
86%Barge odds79%Barge odds