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Red157
703965.8
308343.3
474461.1
Blue84
193740.4
157753.5
441630.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18413305010015025030035015784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7039
Unranked
65.80.0
65.865.8
Auto17.8
Teleop38.9
End9.2
red by 12.3
1577
Unranked
53.50.0
53.553.5
Auto11.4
Teleop36.0
End6.1
Second
4744
Unranked
61.10.0
61.161.1
Auto15.7
Teleop40.8
End4.6
red by 20.7
1937
Unranked
40.40.0
40.440.4
Auto6.0
Teleop27.4
End7.0
Third
3083
Unranked
43.30.0
43.343.3
Auto6.8
Teleop34.6
End1.8
red by 12.5
4416
Unranked
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto9.4
Teleop17.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto odds76%Auto odds
Coral
39%Coral odds54%Coral odds
Barge
78%Barge odds72%Barge odds