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Red112
223084.9
331639.6
610426.8
Blue89
195419.2
441630.8
194268.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17213505010015020025030035011289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2230
Unranked
84.90.0
84.984.9
Auto20.8
Teleop53.8
End10.3
red by 16.6
1942
Unranked
68.40.0
68.468.4
Auto18.2
Teleop43.8
End6.4
Second
3316
Unranked
39.60.0
39.639.6
Auto10.1
Teleop28.4
End1.1
red by 8.8
4416
Unranked
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto9.4
Teleop17.6
End3.8
Third
6104
Unranked
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto3.7
Teleop20.4
End2.7
red by 7.7
1954
Unranked
19.20.0
19.219.2
Auto6.4
Teleop13.3
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto odds88%Auto odds
Coral
43%Coral odds49%Coral odds
Barge
63%Barge odds47%Barge odds