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Red103
209653.2
193740.4
466124.8
Blue134
711242.7
263081.6
1013917.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125162050100200250300350103134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2096
Unranked
53.20.0
53.253.2
Auto13.4
Teleop36.1
End3.6
blue by 28.4
2630
Unranked
81.60.0
81.681.6
Auto21.6
Teleop48.4
End11.6
Second
1937
Unranked
40.40.0
40.440.4
Auto6.0
Teleop27.4
End7.0
blue by 2.3
7112
Unranked
42.70.0
42.742.7
Auto13.2
Teleop21.9
End7.6
Third
4661
Unranked
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto4.1
Teleop18.7
End2.1
red by 7.1
10139
Unranked
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto odds91%Auto odds
Coral
37%Coral odds20%Coral odds
Barge
56%Barge odds91%Barge odds