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Red122
321130.6
157456.7
306546.4
Blue137
822345.2
673834.4
223184.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143188050100250300350122137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
Unranked
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto19.8
Teleop31.2
End5.6
blue by 28.2
2231
Unranked
84.90.0
84.984.9
Auto19.2
Teleop56.2
End9.4
Second
3065
Unranked
46.40.0
46.446.4
Auto7.7
Teleop37.6
End1.1
red by 1.2
8223
Unranked
45.20.0
45.245.2
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End6.6
Third
3211
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto8.2
Teleop20.9
End1.6
blue by 3.7
6738
Unranked
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto12.7
Teleop21.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto odds92%Auto odds
Coral
24%Coral odds24%Coral odds
Barge
42%Barge odds83%Barge odds