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Red195
817540.6
974030.9
1690107.6
Blue94
999014.9
308343.3
595173.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20712705010015025030019594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
Unranked
107.60.0
107.6107.6
Auto31.2
Teleop64.2
End12.2
red by 34.6
5951
Unranked
73.00.0
73.073.0
Auto19.2
Teleop44.0
End9.8
Second
8175
Unranked
40.60.0
40.640.6
Auto8.7
Teleop30.6
End1.3
blue by 2.6
3083
Unranked
43.30.0
43.343.3
Auto6.8
Teleop34.6
End1.8
Third
9740
Unranked
30.90.0
30.930.9
Auto7.9
Teleop21.9
End1.1
red by 16.0
9990
Unranked
14.90.0
14.914.9
Auto3.4
Teleop10.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto odds68%Auto odds
Coral
88%Coral odds3%Coral odds
Barge
52%Barge odds79%Barge odds