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Red108
56424.1
591373.0
942742.1
Blue148
212262.2
752060.2
113857.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12118650100150200250108148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+38
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +35
0Leave6
3Coral scored#9
16Coral points45
16Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +3
16Coral scored#13
56Coral points45
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
6Processor points12
16Net points24
22Algae points36
78Total teleop81
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#8
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
108Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
#15
73.01.2
60.459.2
Auto12.6
Teleop49.7
End10.7
red by 10.8
2122
#22
62.22.2
63.761.5
Auto17.2
Teleop35.2
End9.8
Second
9427
#68
42.11.2
42.241.0
Auto9.3
Teleop29.8
End3.0
blue by 18.1
7520
#25
60.22.2
57.255.0
Auto18.4
Teleop39.8
End2.0
Third
564
#74
24.11.2
21.019.8
Auto3.1
Teleop16.5
End4.5
blue by 33.2
1138
#17
57.32.2
57.255.0
Auto11.4
Teleop37.3
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned