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Red159
1048236.7
861347.4
803374.6
Blue160
590760.6
171855.9
641341.1
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175153100120140200220240159160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave6
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points21
36Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +10
25Coral scored#22
89Coral points79
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
6Processor points18
12Net points20
18Algae points38
107Total teleop117
Reef
12L4#10
10L3#6
3L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
159Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8033
#43
74.60.8
77.476.6
Auto19.0
Teleop46.8
End8.7
red by 14.0
5907
#12
60.60.1
54.955.1
Auto13.1
Teleop44.7
End2.8
Second
8613
#67
47.40.8
47.246.4
Auto6.4
Teleop34.2
End6.8
blue by 8.5
1718
#42
55.90.1
50.851.0
Auto11.6
Teleop33.6
End10.8
Third
36.70.8
35.034.2
Auto7.5
Teleop18.6
End10.5
blue by 4.4
6413
#69
41.10.1
41.041.2
Auto7.8
Teleop31.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
42%Coral oddsEarned38%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned