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Red110
873922.4
886647.5
24558.9
Blue180
4555.6
331479.8
164861.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12220650100150250300110180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+52
Endgame+70
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave0
5Coral scored#9
27Coral points44
27Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +35
11Coral scored#19
41Coral points70
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
12Processor points18
24Net points24
36Algae points42
77Total teleop112
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#10
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
0Foul points0
110Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#46
58.91.4
55.454.0
Auto12.9
Teleop39.1
End6.9
blue by 20.9
3314
#13
79.80.9
80.379.3
Auto19.1
Teleop47.7
End13.1
Second
8866
#53
47.51.4
41.540.1
Auto10.0
Teleop31.1
End6.3
blue by 13.5
1648
#39
61.00.9
49.848.9
Auto12.2
Teleop40.3
End8.5
Third
8739
#75
22.41.4
22.921.5
Auto4.1
Teleop15.6
End2.6
blue by 33.2
45
#10
55.60.9
52.451.5
Auto9.5
Teleop36.0
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed99%Barge oddsEarned