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Red220
494746.7
623860.8
132575.4
Blue191
46164.6
477668.8
207358.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176181120140160200220240220191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+27Teleop
+27Endgame
+29Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
8Coral scored#9
41Coral points44
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +27
32Coral scored#18
114Coral points65
3Processor algae#4
4Net algae#8
18Processor points24
16Net points32
34Algae points56
148Total teleop121
Reef
18L4#11
12L3#7
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
47Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
2Foul points0
220Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.42.7
67.770.4
Auto21.5
Teleop47.9
End5.9
red by 6.6
4776
#45
68.80.3
65.165.4
Auto12.2
Teleop47.4
End9.3
Second
6238
#44
60.82.7
57.560.1
Auto9.9
Teleop42.7
End8.2
blue by 3.8
461
#38
64.60.3
60.360.6
Auto18.8
Teleop39.3
End6.4
Third
4947
#63
46.72.7
41.344.0
Auto8.9
Teleop26.4
End11.4
blue by 11.8
2073
#57
58.60.3
50.350.6
Auto11.7
Teleop38.4
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsEarned69%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned