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Red146
660622.8
691971.3
535261.7
Blue127
674931.1
34243.8
205476.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153180100120140160200220240146127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+21Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
9Coral scored#7
45Coral points34
48Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +10
17Coral scored#14
62Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
86Total teleop76
Reef
12L4#6
6L3#8
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
146Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6919
#35
71.30.0
64.464.5
Auto15.5
Teleop45.3
End10.4
blue by 5.4
2054
#50
76.62.5
77.675.1
Auto23.4
Teleop44.5
End8.8
Second
5352
#20
61.70.0
56.356.4
Auto18.3
Teleop33.8
End9.5
red by 17.9
342
#61
43.82.5
48.045.5
Auto5.7
Teleop33.5
End4.5
Third
6606
#64
22.80.0
16.416.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.1
End2.5
blue by 8.3
6749
#73
31.13.0
29.926.9
Auto9.9
Teleop18.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsMissed46%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsMissed