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Red140
331479.8
756742.1
602427.9
Blue137
477668.8
641341.1
1059821.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16713650100150200250140137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+5Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points17
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +9
16Coral scored#22
57Coral points80
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
89Total teleop98
Reef
11L4#6
4L3#10
2L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
140Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#13
79.80.8
80.880.0
Auto19.1
Teleop47.7
End13.1
red by 11.0
4776
#45
68.80.6
66.166.6
Auto12.2
Teleop47.4
End9.3
Second
7567
#51
42.10.8
42.741.9
Auto13.7
Teleop28.5
End-0.1
red by 1.0
6413
#69
41.10.6
43.444.0
Auto7.8
Teleop31.2
End2.1
Third
6024
#52
27.90.8
28.027.3
Auto4.2
Teleop22.3
End1.4
red by 6.8
21.00.6
19.019.5
Auto2.2
Teleop8.9
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned