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Red170
207358.6
4555.6
971746.4
Blue198
46164.6
110855.1
298749.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174184100150200250170198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+38
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave6
3Coral scored#8
17Coral points41
23Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +14
22Coral scored#25
79Coral points89
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
12Processor points12
20Net points24
32Algae points36
111Total teleop125
Reef
10L4#10
4L3#10
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#8
32Game pieces#41
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
170Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#57
58.61.0
54.455.4
Auto11.7
Teleop38.4
End8.5
blue by 6.0
461
#38
64.62.0
63.465.4
Auto18.8
Teleop39.3
End6.4
Second
45
#10
55.61.0
57.258.3
Auto9.5
Teleop36.0
End10.1
red by 0.6
1108
#34
55.12.0
60.262.2
Auto10.5
Teleop36.3
End8.2
Third
9717
#48
46.41.0
43.144.1
Auto5.5
Teleop32.7
End8.2
blue by 2.7
2987
#21
49.12.0
44.846.8
Auto10.9
Teleop33.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed49%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned