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Red218
439850.3
129663.2
271467.4
Blue215
752060.2
258652.9
36571.4
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191190150160170180200210220230218215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+7
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
7Coral scored#9
37Coral points44
40Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +3
32Coral scored#30
114Coral points107
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#6
18Processor points24
20Net points24
38Algae points48
152Total teleop155
Reef
12L4#10
17L3#13
6L2#10
4L1 · trough#6
47Game pieces#49
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
218Total score215

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.42.2
64.666.7
Auto13.3
Teleop47.4
End6.7
blue by 4.0
365
#40
71.42.0
70.772.6
Auto14.5
Teleop49.0
End7.8
Second
1296
#36
63.22.2
59.161.2
Auto8.3
Teleop43.0
End11.9
red by 3.0
7520
#25
60.22.0
56.858.8
Auto18.4
Teleop39.8
End2.0
Third
4398
#54
50.32.2
50.752.8
Auto8.4
Teleop39.9
End2.1
blue by 2.5
2586
#47
52.92.0
46.948.8
Auto10.3
Teleop39.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsEarned74%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned