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Red213
635763.3
366861.5
473874.5
Blue155
570514.6
1690104.5
171855.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions216200160180240260280213155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+46Teleop
+56Endgame
+58Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
8Coral scored#8
42Coral points42
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +46
23Coral scored#20
84Coral points72
5Processor algae#2
5Net algae#1
30Processor points12
20Net points4
50Algae points16
134Total teleop88
Reef
7L4#11
13L3#7
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
2Foul points0
213Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#11
74.50.9
72.173.0
Auto18.8
Teleop48.6
End7.1
blue by 30.0
104.51.2
101.8100.6
Auto31.3
Teleop62.1
End11.1
Second
6357
#32
63.30.9
60.961.9
Auto8.7
Teleop45.5
End9.1
red by 7.4
1718
#42
55.91.2
52.951.7
Auto11.6
Teleop33.6
End10.8
Third
3668
#30
61.50.9
58.359.2
Auto14.8
Teleop38.8
End7.9
red by 46.9
5705
#72
14.61.2
13.111.9
Auto1.7
Teleop11.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
79%Coral oddsMissed83%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned