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Red185
670662.8
660622.8
441491.9
Blue231
623860.8
260777.7
58180.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182249100150200300350185231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+26
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave3
8Coral scored#10
38Coral points49
44Total auto52
TeleoperatedBlue +18
21Coral scored#29
75Coral points103
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
24Processor points18
20Net points16
44Algae points34
119Total teleop137
Reef
12L4#14
8L3#12
6L2#8
3L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
6Foul points6
185Total score231

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.90.6
88.689.2
Auto19.0
Teleop65.3
End7.6
red by 11.2
581
#23
80.70.7
79.680.3
Auto18.9
Teleop53.1
End8.7
Second
6706
#28
62.80.6
59.059.7
Auto18.0
Teleop40.8
End4.0
blue by 14.9
77.70.7
76.076.6
Auto17.8
Teleop48.1
End11.9
Third
6606
#64
22.80.6
21.722.3
Auto5.3
Teleop15.1
End2.5
blue by 38.0
6238
#44
60.80.7
59.259.9
Auto9.9
Teleop42.7
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsMissed85%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned