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Red186
886647.5
680082.5
425345.8
Blue164
31662.7
591373.0
674931.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20517450100150250300186164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+12Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
11Coral scored#10
55Coral points51
58Total auto54
TeleoperatedRed +8
19Coral scored#18
70Coral points64
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
12Processor points18
20Net points12
32Algae points30
102Total teleop94
Reef
10L4#12
8L3#9
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#34
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
186Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.50.7
86.685.9
Auto22.5
Teleop48.5
End11.4
red by 9.5
5913
#15
73.00.9
71.470.5
Auto12.6
Teleop49.7
End10.7
Second
8866
#53
47.50.7
47.346.6
Auto10.0
Teleop31.1
End6.3
blue by 15.3
316
#55
62.70.9
60.759.8
Auto18.2
Teleop41.4
End3.1
Third
4253
#56
45.80.7
48.547.8
Auto12.5
Teleop24.4
End8.9
red by 14.7
6749
#73
31.10.9
31.931.0
Auto9.9
Teleop18.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned