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Red159
373954.7
942742.1
282656.4
Blue161
861347.4
186035.4
24558.9
62%Model gave it38%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165151100200250159161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+16Teleop
+6Endgame
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points10
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +6
25Coral scored#22
89Coral points79
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
117Total teleop111
Reef
13L4#10
6L3#6
8L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points8
159Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2826
#41
56.40.1
56.856.9
Auto14.4
Teleop35.0
End7.1
blue by 2.5
245
#46
58.90.5
57.758.2
Auto12.9
Teleop39.1
End6.9
Second
3739
#33
54.70.1
53.553.7
Auto8.1
Teleop42.9
End3.7
red by 7.3
8613
#67
47.40.5
50.551.1
Auto6.4
Teleop34.2
End6.8
Third
9427
#68
42.10.1
40.540.6
Auto9.3
Teleop29.8
End3.0
red by 6.7
1860
#49
35.40.5
31.732.2
Auto5.8
Teleop26.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned