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Red214
516665.4
31662.7
815964.4
Blue166
440350.9
54856.3
494746.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201167100150250300214166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+32Teleop
+42Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
0Leave6
12Coral scored#2
58Coral points10
58Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
21Coral scored#23
76Coral points84
4Processor algae#5
6Net algae#5
24Processor points30
24Net points20
48Algae points50
124Total teleop134
Reef
10L4#11
10L3#8
7L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#35
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
6Foul points0
214Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#18
65.41.8
61.463.2
Auto13.6
Teleop39.2
End12.6
red by 9.1
548
#58
56.30.7
52.453.1
Auto7.0
Teleop44.2
End5.1
Second
8159
#19
64.41.8
59.561.4
Auto16.0
Teleop43.2
End5.2
red by 13.4
4403
#65
50.90.7
53.954.6
Auto7.3
Teleop36.1
End7.5
Third
316
#55
62.71.8
59.861.6
Auto18.2
Teleop41.4
End3.1
red by 16.0
4947
#63
46.70.7
48.949.7
Auto8.9
Teleop26.4
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned