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Red208
113857.3
132575.4
680082.5
Blue199
691971.3
544972.3
58926.2
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242166100150200300350208199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+49Auto
+25Teleop
+5Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +49
3Leave0
12Coral scored#3
62Coral points16
65Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +24
23Coral scored#30
83Coral points107
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
24Processor points12
16Net points28
40Algae points40
123Total teleop147
Reef
13L4#11
9L3#11
7L2#6
6L1 · trough#5
43Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
4Foul points0
208Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.51.8
85.984.1
Auto22.5
Teleop48.5
End11.4
red by 10.2
5449
#31
72.31.6
69.270.8
Auto17.8
Teleop44.4
End10.1
Second
75.41.8
74.572.7
Auto21.5
Teleop47.9
End5.9
red by 4.1
6919
#35
71.31.6
69.270.8
Auto15.5
Teleop45.3
End10.4
Third
1138
#17
57.31.8
59.357.5
Auto11.4
Teleop37.3
End8.6
red by 31.1
589
#62
26.21.6
25.126.7
Auto3.2
Teleop15.5
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
91%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned