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Red189
570514.6
591373.0
260777.7
Blue167
674931.1
519974.6
623860.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177183120140160200220240189167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points27
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +10
25Coral scored#21
91Coral points75
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
6Processor points12
20Net points20
26Algae points32
117Total teleop107
Reef
10L4#8
10L3#9
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
39Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
2Foul points4
189Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.71.9
76.678.5
Auto17.8
Teleop48.1
End11.9
red by 3.1
5199
#29
74.60.3
76.476.1
Auto13.5
Teleop50.5
End10.7
Second
5913
#15
73.01.9
70.572.4
Auto12.6
Teleop49.7
End10.7
red by 12.2
6238
#44
60.80.3
59.959.6
Auto9.9
Teleop42.7
End8.2
Third
5705
#72
14.61.9
11.913.8
Auto1.7
Teleop11.5
End1.4
blue by 16.5
6749
#73
31.10.3
31.030.7
Auto9.9
Teleop18.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned