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Red189
1021335.0
68657.8
635763.3
Blue225
129663.2
463575.4
293080.5
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153229100200250300350189225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+16
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave6
5Coral scored#10
24Coral points48
30Total auto54
TeleoperatedRed +8
26Coral scored#27
95Coral points97
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
24Processor points18
24Net points20
48Algae points38
143Total teleop135
Reef
13L4#14
10L3#12
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#7
41Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
189Total score225

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6357
#32
63.32.5
61.964.3
Auto8.7
Teleop45.5
End9.1
blue by 17.2
80.50.7
78.279.0
Auto18.5
Teleop51.5
End10.5
Second
686
#37
57.82.5
54.557.0
Auto9.2
Teleop42.7
End5.9
blue by 17.5
4635
#14
75.40.7
74.475.2
Auto17.0
Teleop48.1
End10.3
Third
35.02.5
35.437.9
Auto7.8
Teleop25.9
End1.2
blue by 28.2
1296
#36
63.20.7
61.262.0
Auto8.3
Teleop43.0
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed77%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned100%Barge oddsEarned