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Red210
4555.6
784045.3
161971.8
Blue247
425345.8
1690104.5
366861.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188239100150200250300210247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+29
Endgame+39
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave6
7Coral scored#10
37Coral points52
37Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +8
30Coral scored#26
109Coral points95
2Processor algae#5
6Net algae#7
12Processor points30
24Net points28
36Algae points58
145Total teleop153
Reef
11L4#15
13L3#9
8L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
2Foul points0
210Total score247

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.81.3
68.770.0
Auto15.1
Teleop47.6
End9.1
blue by 32.8
104.51.5
100.6102.1
Auto31.3
Teleop62.1
End11.1
Second
45
#10
55.61.3
58.359.6
Auto9.5
Teleop36.0
End10.1
blue by 5.9
3668
#30
61.51.5
59.260.7
Auto14.8
Teleop38.8
End7.9
Third
7840
#60
45.31.3
44.445.8
Auto9.4
Teleop29.3
End6.6
blue by 0.5
4253
#56
45.81.5
47.849.3
Auto12.5
Teleop24.4
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
58%Coral oddsEarned97%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned