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Red238
441491.9
473874.5
752060.2
Blue159
886647.5
34243.8
207358.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246157100200300350238159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+89Teleop
+79Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave6
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points13
47Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +61
24Coral scored#19
85Coral points70
9Processor algae#2
9Net algae#8
54Processor points12
36Net points32
90Algae points44
175Total teleop114
Reef
13L4#10
10L3#5
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
50Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
0Foul points0
238Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.90.4
89.289.6
Auto19.0
Teleop65.3
End7.6
red by 33.3
2073
#57
58.60.1
55.455.3
Auto11.7
Teleop38.4
End8.5
Second
4738
#11
74.50.4
73.073.4
Auto18.8
Teleop48.6
End7.1
red by 27.1
8866
#53
47.50.1
46.646.5
Auto10.0
Teleop31.1
End6.3
Third
7520
#25
60.20.4
58.859.2
Auto18.4
Teleop39.8
End2.0
red by 16.4
342
#61
43.80.1
47.147.0
Auto5.7
Teleop33.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
94%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned