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Red181
298749.1
535261.7
439850.3
Blue138
58180.7
1048236.7
33335.9
54%Model gave it46%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177171100150200250300181138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+27Teleop
+37Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave0
9Coral scored#4
47Coral points19
47Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +1
21Coral scored#20
74Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
102Total teleop103
Reef
11L4#9
10L3#6
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
6Foul points0
181Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5352
#20
61.71.0
61.061.9
Auto18.3
Teleop33.8
End9.5
blue by 18.9
581
#23
80.71.0
80.379.3
Auto18.9
Teleop53.1
End8.7
Second
4398
#54
50.31.0
52.853.8
Auto8.4
Teleop39.9
End2.1
red by 13.7
36.71.0
36.335.3
Auto7.5
Teleop18.6
End10.5
Third
2987
#21
49.11.0
46.847.7
Auto10.9
Teleop33.1
End5.2
red by 13.2
333
#66
35.91.0
36.135.1
Auto2.9
Teleop25.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
66%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned