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Red156
171855.9
552655.9
56424.1
Blue138
660622.8
36571.4
46164.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138187100150200250156138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
+8Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +15
6Leave0
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points34
19Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +23
24Coral scored#18
85Coral points64
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
18Processor points12
8Net points12
26Algae points24
111Total teleop88
Reef
8L4#8
8L3#8
5L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
156Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#42
55.92.0
51.753.7
Auto11.6
Teleop33.6
End10.8
blue by 15.5
365
#40
71.41.5
72.671.1
Auto14.5
Teleop49.0
End7.8
Second
5526
#27
55.92.0
52.954.9
Auto9.8
Teleop40.4
End5.7
blue by 8.7
461
#38
64.61.5
65.463.9
Auto18.8
Teleop39.3
End6.4
Third
564
#74
24.12.0
21.323.3
Auto3.1
Teleop16.5
End4.5
red by 1.2
6606
#64
22.81.5
22.320.9
Auto5.3
Teleop15.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned