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Red234
271467.4
11186.7
680082.5
Blue124
110855.1
861347.4
440350.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271171100150200250300350234124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+108Teleop
+110Endgame
+110Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave3
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points9
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +83
38Coral scored#21
137Coral points74
2Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
12Processor points12
32Net points12
44Algae points24
181Total teleop98
Reef
18L4#8
13L3#6
7L2#4
7L1 · trough#5
55Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +110
0Foul points0
234Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#4
86.71.1
89.087.9
Auto19.3
Teleop56.7
End10.7
red by 31.6
1108
#34
55.13.7
62.258.5
Auto10.5
Teleop36.3
End8.2
Second
82.51.1
84.182.9
Auto22.5
Teleop48.5
End11.4
red by 31.5
4403
#65
50.93.7
54.650.9
Auto7.3
Teleop36.1
End7.5
Third
67.41.1
66.765.6
Auto13.3
Teleop47.4
End6.7
red by 20.0
8613
#67
47.43.7
51.147.4
Auto6.4
Teleop34.2
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsMissed