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Red217
132575.4
186035.4
54856.3
Blue215
260777.7
331479.8
590760.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15724050100200300217215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
7Coral scored#6
37Coral points28
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +1
26Coral scored#28
95Coral points100
4Processor algae#5
8Net algae#5
24Processor points30
32Net points20
56Algae points50
151Total teleop150
Reef
13L4#10
7L3#11
9L2#8
4L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#44
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points2
217Total score215

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.43.2
72.775.8
Auto21.5
Teleop47.9
End5.9
blue by 4.4
3314
#13
79.81.2
80.078.8
Auto19.1
Teleop47.7
End13.1
Second
548
#58
56.33.2
53.156.3
Auto7.0
Teleop44.2
End5.1
blue by 21.4
77.71.2
78.577.3
Auto17.8
Teleop48.1
End11.9
Third
1860
#49
35.43.2
32.235.4
Auto5.8
Teleop26.0
End3.6
blue by 25.1
5907
#12
60.61.2
61.860.6
Auto13.1
Teleop44.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsEarned89%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned