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Red168
544972.3
942742.1
1059821.0
Blue229
129663.2
115669.5
623860.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13421650100150200250300168229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+55
Endgame+55
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave9
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points35
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +34
21Coral scored#27
77Coral points97
2Processor algae#5
6Net algae#5
12Processor points30
24Net points20
36Algae points50
113Total teleop147
Reef
10L4#14
5L3#10
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#44
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
6Foul points12
168Total score229

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5449
#31
72.31.5
70.872.3
Auto17.8
Teleop44.4
End10.1
red by 2.8
1156
#24
69.51.2
69.370.5
Auto15.6
Teleop43.1
End10.7
Second
9427
#68
42.11.5
40.642.1
Auto9.3
Teleop29.8
End3.0
blue by 21.1
1296
#36
63.21.2
62.063.2
Auto8.3
Teleop43.0
End11.9
Third
21.01.5
19.521.0
Auto2.2
Teleop8.9
End10.0
blue by 39.8
6238
#44
60.81.2
59.660.8
Auto9.9
Teleop42.7
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned