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Red189
519974.6
212262.2
635763.3
Blue122
58926.2
784045.3
282656.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22512650100150200250300350189122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+47Teleop
+67Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points27
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +40
23Coral scored#20
84Coral points72
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
18Processor points6
24Net points8
42Algae points14
126Total teleop86
Reef
9L4#9
7L3#8
9L2#6
5L1 · trough#2
39Game pieces#28
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points0
189Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#29
74.61.0
76.175.1
Auto13.5
Teleop50.5
End10.7
red by 18.2
2826
#41
56.40.5
56.956.4
Auto14.4
Teleop35.0
End7.1
Second
6357
#32
63.31.0
64.363.3
Auto8.7
Teleop45.5
End9.1
red by 18.1
7840
#60
45.30.5
45.845.3
Auto9.4
Teleop29.3
End6.6
Third
2122
#22
62.21.0
63.762.6
Auto17.2
Teleop35.2
End9.8
red by 36.0
589
#62
26.20.5
26.726.2
Auto3.2
Teleop15.5
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsMissed