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Red145
4555.6
69576.5
34243.8
Blue105
641341.1
494746.7
1021335.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21313350100150200250300145105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+50Teleop
+52Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave9
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points7
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +29
21Coral scored#14
74Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
92Total teleop63
Reef
8L4#6
8L3#5
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points12
145Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#16
76.53.2
80.577.3
Auto20.9
Teleop47.2
End8.4
red by 29.7
4947
#63
46.72.9
49.746.7
Auto8.9
Teleop26.4
End11.4
Second
45
#10
55.63.2
59.656.4
Auto9.5
Teleop36.0
End10.1
red by 14.5
6413
#69
41.12.9
44.041.1
Auto7.8
Teleop31.2
End2.1
Third
342
#61
43.83.2
47.043.8
Auto5.7
Teleop33.5
End4.5
red by 8.8
35.02.9
37.935.0
Auto7.8
Teleop25.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed