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Red176
207358.6
298749.1
1048236.7
Blue228
1690104.5
602427.9
591373.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14023050100200250300350176228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+62
Endgame+52
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
7Coral scored#8
37Coral points38
40Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +58
21Coral scored#25
76Coral points90
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#11
6Processor points18
12Net points44
18Algae points62
94Total teleop152
Reef
12L4#13
5L3#10
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#47
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
6Foul points6
176Total score228

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#57
58.61.4
55.356.7
Auto11.7
Teleop38.4
End8.5
blue by 46.0
104.50.6
102.1102.7
Auto31.3
Teleop62.1
End11.1
Second
2987
#21
49.11.4
47.749.1
Auto10.9
Teleop33.1
End5.2
blue by 23.9
5913
#15
73.00.6
72.473.0
Auto12.6
Teleop49.7
End10.7
Third
36.71.4
35.336.7
Auto7.5
Teleop18.6
End10.5
red by 8.8
6024
#52
27.90.6
27.327.9
Auto4.2
Teleop22.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned86%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned