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Red228
171855.9
477668.8
516665.4
Blue246
167663.6
463575.4
58180.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190231150250300228246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave9
7Coral scored#8
34Coral points42
40Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +7
29Coral scored#30
106Coral points109
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#8
18Processor points18
28Net points32
46Algae points50
152Total teleop159
Reef
13L4#15
12L3#9
7L2#8
4L1 · trough#6
46Game pieces#49
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
228Total score246

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4776
#45
68.82.2
66.668.8
Auto12.2
Teleop47.4
End9.3
blue by 11.8
581
#23
80.71.2
79.380.5
Auto18.9
Teleop53.1
End8.7
Second
5166
#18
65.42.2
63.265.4
Auto13.6
Teleop39.2
End12.6
blue by 10.0
4635
#14
75.41.2
75.276.3
Auto17.0
Teleop48.1
End10.3
Third
1718
#42
55.92.2
53.755.9
Auto11.6
Teleop33.6
End10.8
blue by 7.7
1676
#26
63.61.2
62.463.6
Auto14.0
Teleop39.8
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned100%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
52%Coral oddsMissed58%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned