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Qual 1222025 Johnson Division
Red177
164861.0
36571.4
756742.1
Blue206
11186.7
113857.3
535261.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179224100150200250300177206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+7
Endgame+27
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave6
6Coral scored#10
31Coral points51
40Total auto57
TeleoperatedRed +10
22Coral scored#24
79Coral points87
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#4
24Processor points18
28Net points16
52Algae points34
131Total teleop121
Reef
8L4#12
7L3#12
9L2#4
4L1 · trough#6
39Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points2
177Total score206

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#40
71.40.2
71.1→71.3
Auto14.5
Teleop49.0
End7.8
blue by 15.3
111
#4
86.70.2
87.9→87.6
Auto19.3
Teleop56.7
End10.7
Second
1648
#39
61.00.2
61.6→61.8
Auto12.2
Teleop40.3
End8.5
blue by 0.7
5352
#20
61.70.2
61.9→61.7
Auto18.3
Teleop33.8
End9.5
Third
7567
#51
42.10.2
41.9→42.1
Auto13.7
Teleop28.5
End-0.1
blue by 15.2
1138
#17
57.30.2
57.5→57.3
Auto11.4
Teleop37.3
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsMissed66%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned