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Red209
441491.9
674931.1
691971.3
Blue219
24558.9
473874.5
46164.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions205212160180220240260280209219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave6
9Coral scored#10
44Coral points49
44Total auto55
TeleoperatedRed +3
29Coral scored#24
103Coral points88
4Processor algae#4
6Net algae#9
24Processor points24
24Net points36
48Algae points60
151Total teleop148
Reef
15L4#14
12L3#11
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#6
48Game pieces#47
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points2
209Total score219

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.90.4
89.690.0
Auto19.0
Teleop65.3
End7.6
red by 17.4
4738
#11
74.50.7
73.474.1
Auto18.8
Teleop48.6
End7.1
Second
6919
#35
71.30.4
70.871.3
Auto15.5
Teleop45.3
End10.4
red by 6.7
461
#38
64.60.7
63.964.6
Auto18.8
Teleop39.3
End6.4
Third
6749
#73
31.10.4
30.731.1
Auto9.9
Teleop18.0
End3.2
blue by 27.8
245
#46
58.90.7
58.258.9
Auto12.9
Teleop39.1
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
76%Coral oddsEarned84%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsMissed