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Red204
161971.8
971746.4
258652.9
Blue199
373954.7
552655.9
31662.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181184100150200250300204199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+5
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +2
31Coral scored#30
112Coral points108
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
12Processor points18
24Net points20
36Algae points38
148Total teleop146
Reef
10L4#11
13L3#9
10L2#10
3L1 · trough#6
44Game pieces#44
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
204Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.81.6
70.071.6
Auto15.1
Teleop47.6
End9.1
red by 9.0
316
#55
62.71.0
61.662.6
Auto18.2
Teleop41.4
End3.1
Second
2586
#47
52.91.6
51.352.9
Auto10.3
Teleop39.5
End3.1
blue by 3.0
5526
#27
55.91.0
54.955.9
Auto9.8
Teleop40.4
End5.7
Third
9717
#48
46.41.6
44.846.4
Auto5.5
Teleop32.7
End8.2
blue by 8.3
3739
#33
54.71.0
53.754.7
Auto8.1
Teleop42.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned40%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned