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Red276
207358.6
441491.9
1690104.5
Blue157
69576.5
4555.6
164861.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277202100150250300350276157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+109Teleop
+109Endgame
+119Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
3Leave3
13Coral scored#5
65Coral points27
68Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +71
37Coral scored#14
132Coral points51
1Processor algae#4
6Net algae#4
6Processor points24
24Net points16
30Algae points40
162Total teleop91
Reef
19L4#5
17L3#4
9L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
57Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +119
10Foul points0
276Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
104.50.4
102.7103.0
Auto31.3
Teleop62.1
End11.1
red by 28.0
695
#16
76.50.9
77.376.5
Auto20.9
Teleop47.2
End8.4
Second
91.90.4
90.090.4
Auto19.0
Teleop65.3
End7.6
red by 30.9
1648
#39
61.00.9
61.860.9
Auto12.2
Teleop40.3
End8.5
Third
2073
#57
58.60.4
56.757.1
Auto11.7
Teleop38.4
End8.5
red by 3.0
45
#10
55.60.9
56.455.5
Auto9.5
Teleop36.0
End10.1