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Red230
115669.5
11186.7
463575.4
Blue249
803374.6
473874.5
260777.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254237180200220280300320230249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+3
Endgame+13
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave6
8Coral scored#10
41Coral points52
50Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +5
30Coral scored#33
108Coral points117
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
18Processor points12
28Net points20
46Algae points32
154Total teleop149
Reef
15L4#9
9L3#17
8L2#13
6L1 · trough#4
48Game pieces#50
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points6
230Total score249

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#4
86.70.1
87.687.5
Auto19.3
Teleop56.7
End10.7
red by 8.9
77.70.4
77.377.7
Auto17.8
Teleop48.1
End11.9
Second
4635
#14
75.40.1
76.376.2
Auto17.0
Teleop48.1
End10.3
red by 0.8
8033
#43
74.60.4
74.174.5
Auto19.0
Teleop46.8
End8.7
Third
1156
#24
69.50.1
70.570.4
Auto15.6
Teleop43.1
End10.7
blue by 5.1
4738
#11
74.50.4
74.174.5
Auto18.8
Teleop48.6
End7.1