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Red243
31662.7
58180.7
161971.8
Blue241
815964.4
331479.8
271467.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231223160180200240260280300243241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+22Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave3
15Coral scored#11
76Coral points55
76Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +4
33Coral scored#28
119Coral points101
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
12Processor points18
20Net points28
32Algae points46
151Total teleop147
Reef
23L4#12
11L3#12
6L2#7
8L1 · trough#8
55Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
243Total score241

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#23
80.70.6
80.581.1
Auto18.9
Teleop53.1
End8.7
red by 0.8
3314
#13
79.80.7
78.879.5
Auto19.1
Teleop47.7
End13.1
Second
71.80.6
71.672.2
Auto15.1
Teleop47.6
End9.1
red by 4.4
67.40.7
66.467.1
Auto13.3
Teleop47.4
End6.7
Third
316
#55
62.70.6
62.663.2
Auto18.2
Teleop41.4
End3.1
blue by 1.6
8159
#19
64.40.7
63.464.1
Auto16.0
Teleop43.2
End5.2