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Red236
591373.0
186035.4
473874.5
Blue218
110855.1
784045.3
803374.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165183100150200250236218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points30
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +8
34Coral scored#31
124Coral points110
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
12Processor points18
24Net points24
36Algae points42
160Total teleop152
Reef
19L4#15
8L3#8
8L2#8
6L1 · trough#6
49Game pieces#46
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
236Total score218

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#11
74.54.6
66.771.2
Auto18.8
Teleop48.6
End7.1
Level
8033
#43
74.62.3
76.679.0
Auto19.0
Teleop46.8
End8.7
Second
5913
#15
73.04.6
59.263.8
Auto12.6
Teleop49.7
End10.7
red by 17.9
1108
#34
55.12.3
53.956.2
Auto10.5
Teleop36.3
End8.2
Third
1860
#49
35.44.6
30.635.1
Auto5.8
Teleop26.0
End3.6
blue by 9.8
7840
#60
45.32.6
41.243.8
Auto9.4
Teleop29.3
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned55%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned