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Red194
440350.9
293080.5
258652.9
Blue240
69576.5
58180.7
113857.3
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176204150250194240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+26
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave0
6Coral scored#11
28Coral points55
37Total auto55
TeleoperatedBlue +8
28Coral scored#31
101Coral points113
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#6
12Processor points12
28Net points24
40Algae points36
141Total teleop149
Reef
9L4#18
13L3#13
5L2#7
7L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#50
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
194Total score240

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.51.1
74.675.7
Auto18.5
Teleop51.5
End10.5
blue by 0.2
581
#23
80.71.8
74.075.8
Auto18.9
Teleop53.1
End8.7
Second
2586
#47
52.91.1
49.951.0
Auto10.3
Teleop39.5
End3.1
blue by 23.6
695
#16
76.51.8
72.474.3
Auto20.9
Teleop47.2
End8.4
Third
4403
#65
50.91.1
42.543.5
Auto7.3
Teleop36.1
End7.5
blue by 6.4
1138
#17
57.31.8
55.056.8
Auto11.4
Teleop37.3
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsEarned49%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned