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Red123
602427.9
129663.2
861347.4
Blue122
31662.7
56424.1
425345.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130149100200123122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +12
0Leave6
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points25
19Total auto31
TeleoperatedRed +13
16Coral scored#15
56Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
12Processor points6
20Net points16
32Algae points22
88Total teleop75
Reef
8L4#9
7L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
123Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#36
63.20.2
55.955.7
Auto8.3
Teleop43.0
End11.9
red by 0.4
316
#55
62.70.8
61.060.2
Auto18.2
Teleop41.4
End3.1
Second
8613
#67
47.40.2
46.446.2
Auto6.4
Teleop34.2
End6.8
red by 1.6
4253
#56
45.80.8
53.853.0
Auto12.5
Teleop24.4
End8.9
Third
6024
#52
27.90.2
24.324.1
Auto4.2
Teleop22.3
End1.4
red by 3.8
564
#74
24.10.8
19.818.9
Auto3.1
Teleop16.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned