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Red222
552655.9
1690104.5
54856.3
Blue139
33335.9
942742.1
886647.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2279950150200250300222139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+75Teleop
+65Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
3Leave6
10Coral scored#1
48Coral points3
51Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
29Coral scored#23
103Coral points84
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
18Processor points12
16Net points8
34Algae points20
137Total teleop104
Reef
16L4#10
14L3#4
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
46Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
18Foul points0
222Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
104.50.6
101.3100.7
Auto31.3
Teleop62.1
End11.1
red by 57.0
8866
#53
47.51.3
40.141.4
Auto10.0
Teleop31.1
End6.3
Second
548
#58
56.30.6
51.150.5
Auto7.0
Teleop44.2
End5.1
red by 14.2
9427
#68
42.11.3
41.042.3
Auto9.3
Teleop29.8
End3.0
Third
5526
#27
55.90.6
46.646.0
Auto9.8
Teleop40.4
End5.7
red by 20.0
333
#66
35.91.3
24.525.8
Auto2.9
Teleop25.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
93%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsEarned